Question 01
The management of LTD Construction Company is evaluating a proposed capital project of acquiring a new earth mover. The Mover’s basic price is Rs.5,000,000, and it would cost another Rs.1,000,000 to modify it for special use. Assume that the mover’s depreciation expense for first year is Rs.1,980,000, for second year is Rs.2,700,000 and for third year is Rs.900,000. After three years the mover would be sold for Rs.200,000. The mover will also require an increase in networking capital of Rs.200,000. The earth mover would have no effect on revenues, but it is expected to save the firm Rs.2,000,000 per year in before tax operating costs, mainly labor. The tax rate of the firm is 40%.
Required:
- Calculate the initial cash out flow of the proposed project.
- What are the operating cash flows of the project in first, second and third year.
- What are the additional (Non operating) cash flows in the third year?
- If the project’s cost of capital is 10%, should the earth mover be purchased?
Question 02
Suppose you are working as a financial analyst in a public Limited company. Your company is involved in the exploration, extraction and marketing of Oil. The capital budgeting division of your company has propped two new projects X and Y. The director of capital budgeting has asked you to analyze the two proposed projects and present a report on the financial viability of the projects.
Some key facts about the projects are as follow;
Each project has a cost of Rs.10 million, and the cost of capital for each project is 15%. The projects’ expected net cash flows are as follows:
Net Cash flows
Year Project X Project Y
1 Rs.2,000,000 Rs.1,500,000
2 2,500,000 2,000,000
3 3,500,000 2,500,000
4 2,500,000 2,000,000
5 2,000,000 3,000,000
6 3,500,000 4,000,000
7 2,500,000 2,500,000
8 1,500,000 1,000,000
Total cash flows Rs.20, 000,000 Rs.18, 500,000
Required:
- Calculate each project’s Simple pay back period and Discounted payback period.
- Calculate each project’s Net Present Value (NPV) and Internal Rate of Return (IRR).
- Which project should be selected if both the projects are mutually exclusive? Why.
---------------------------------------------The End---------------------------------------------
Solution
Question No.01
Given Data is
Mover’s Price = Rs.5,000,000
Cost of modification = Rs.1,000,000
Change in working capital = Rs.200,000
Depreciation expenses
1st year = Rs.1,980,000
2nd year = Rs.2,700,000
3rd year = Rs.900,000
Sales price after 3rd year = Rs.2,000,000
Cost savings per year = Rs.2,000,000
Tax rate = 40%
- Initial Cash out flow of the proposed project:
Basic price = Rs.5,000,000
+ Modification Cost = Rs.1,000,000
+Change in working capital = Rs.200,000
Initial Cash Out flow = 6,200,000
- Operating Cash Flows of the project in first , second and third year:
a) Depreciation Tax savings:
1st year = Rs.1,980,000 40% = Rs.792,000
2nd year = Rs.2,700,000 40% = Rs.1,080,000
3rd year = Rs.900,000 40% = Rs.360,000
b) After tax cost savings = Rs. 2,000,000 ( 1- 40%) per year.
= 2,000,000 60%
= 1,200,000 per year
Operating Cash flows year 01 year 02 year 03
(1)After tax cost savings 1,200,000 1,200,000 1,200,000
(2)Depreciation tax savings 792,000 1,080,000 360,000
Total (1+ 2) Rs.1,992,000 Rs.2,280,000 Rs.1,560,000
- Terminal Cash Flow in the third year:
a) Book value of the mover after three years:
Depreciable cost of the mover – Accumulated depreciation
= 6,000,000 – (1,980,000 + 2,700,000 + 900,000)
= 6,000,000 – 5,580,000
= Rs.420,000 (book value of the mover after third year)
b) Profit/ (Loss) on disposal of the mover:
= Sales price – Book value
= Rs.200,000 – Rs.420,000
= (Rs.220,000)
Since we have loss on disposal of the mover, therefore we would have tax savings due to this loss, because loss on disposal of asset is tax deductible.
c) Tax savings due loss on disposal of the mover:
= Loss on disposal of assets tax rate
= Rs.220,000 40%
= Rs.88,000
d) Terminal Cash Flows/Non operating Cash flows
Sales price of the mover after third year = Rs.200,000
Add: Tax savings due loss on disposal of
The mover = Rs.88,000
Add: Networking Capital recovery = Rs.200,000
Total = Rs. 488,000
- Decision
We use NPV criterion to decide whether to purchase or not to purchase the mover.
Periods year 01 year 02 year 03
(1)Operating Cash Flows Rs.1,992,000 Rs.2,280,000 Rs.1,560,000
(2)Non operating Cash Flows - - Rs.488,000
Net Cash Flows (1+2) Rs.1,992,000 Rs.2,280,000 Rs.2,048,000
NPV = - Initial Cash Out flow + Sum of Present values of future Net Cash Flows
NPV = - 6,200,000 + + +
NPV = - 6,200,000 + + +
NPV = - 6,200,000 + 1,810,909.091 + 1,884,297.521 + 1,538,692.712
NPV = - 6,200,000 + 5,233,899.324
NPV = - Rs.966,100.676
Since NPV of the mover is negative, therefore the proposed project should be rejected.
Question No.02
- Simple and Discounted payback periods of Project X and Project Y.
Project X | |||||
Years | Cash Inflows | Cum Cash Inflows | Discount Factor At 15% | Discounted Cash Flows | Cum Discounted Cash Flows |
1 | 2,000,000 | 2,000,000 | 0.870 | 1,740,000 | 1,740,000 |
2 | 2,500,000 | 4,500,000 | 0.756 | 1,890,000 | 3,363,000 |
3 | 3,500,000 | 8,000,000 | 0.658 | 2,303,000 | 5,933,000 |
4 | 2,500,000 | 10,500,000 | 0.572 | 1,430,000 | 7,363,000 |
5 | 2,000,000 | 12,500,000 | 0.497 | 994,000 | 8,357,000 |
6 | 3,500,000 | 16,000,000 | 0.432 | 1,512,000 | 9,869,000 |
7 | 2,500,000 | 18,500,000 | 0.376 | 940,000 | 10,809,000 |
8 | 1,500,000 | 20,000,000 | 0.327 | 490,500 | 11,299,500 |
Total | | | | 11,299,500 | |
Project Y | |||||
Years | Cash Inflows | Cum Cash Inflows | Discount Factor At 15% | Discounted Cash Flows | Cum Discounted Cash Flows |
1 | 1,500,000 | 1,500,000 | 0.870 | 1,305,000 | 1,305,000 |
2 | 2,000,000 | 3,500,000 | 0.756 | 1,512,000 | 2,817,000 |
3 | 2,500,000 | 6,000,000 | 0.658 | 1,645,000 | 4,462,000 |
4 | 2,000,000 | 8,000,000 | 0.572 | 1,144,000 | 5,606,000 |
5 | 3,000,000 | 11,000,000 | 0.497 | 1,491,000 | 7,097,000 |
6 | 4,000,000 | 15,000,000 | 0.432 | 1,728,000 | 8,825,000 |
7 | 2,500,000 | 17,500,000 | 0.376 | 940,000 | 9,765,000 |
8 | 1,000,000 | 18,500,000 | 0.327 | 327,000 | 10,092,000 |
Total | | | | 10,092,000 | |
- Simple payback period of Project X = 3 +
= 3 + 0.8 = 3.8 years
- Discounted payback period of Project X = 6 + = 6 + 0.14 = 6.14 Years
- Simple payback period of Project Y = 4 +
= 4+ 0.67 = 4.67 Years
- Discounted Payback period = 7 +
= 7+ 0.72 = 7.72 Years
- Net Present Values (NPV) and Internal Rate of Return ( IRR) of Project X and Project Y:
- NPV of Project X = - Initial Cash Out Flow + Sum of Discounted Cash Flows
= - Rs.10,000,000 + Rs.11,299,500 = Rs.1,299,500
- NPV of Project Y = - Initial Cash Out Flow + Sum of Discounted Cash Flows
= -10,000,000 + 10,092,000 = Rs.92,000
- IRR of Project X
To calculate IRR of the project we try to find out such two discounting rate where at one rate the NPV of the project is positive and at the other the NPV is negative. Then we use interpolation method to find the exact value of IRR between these two rates.
At 15% NPV of the project = Rs.1,299,500 (as calculated above)
Therefore we try some high discounting rates..
Years | Cash Inflows | At 18% | At 20% | ||
Discount Factors | Discounted Cash Flows | Discount Factors | Discounted Cash Flows | ||
1 | 2,000,000 | 0.847 | 1,694,000 | 0.833 | 1,666,000 |
2 | 2,500,000 | 0.718 | 1,795,000 | 0.694 | 1,735,000 |
3 | 3,500,000 | 0.609 | 2,131,500 | 0.579 | 2,026,500 |
4 | 2,500,000 | 0.516 | 1,290,000 | 0.482 | 1,205,000 |
5 | 2,000,000 | 0.437 | 874,000 | 0.402 | 804,000 |
6 | 3,500,000 | 0.370 | 1,295,000 | 0.335 | 1,172,000 |
7 | 2,500,000 | 0.314 | 785,000 | 0.279 | 697,500 |
8 | 1,500,000 | 0.266 | 399,000 | 0.233 | 349,500 |
Total | | | Rs.10,263,500 | | Rs.9,656,000 |
NPV at 18%
= - Initial Cash Out Flow + Sum of Discounted Cash Flow at 18%
= - 10,000,000 + 10,236,500 = 263,500
NPV at 20%
= - Initial Cash Out Flow + Sum of Discounted Cash Flow at 18%
= - 10,000,000 + 9,656,500 = - 344,000
So our IRR is between 18% and 20%.
Using Interpolation formula
IRR
= Lower Discount rate + Difference between two Discount rates ()
= 18% + 2% ()
= 18% + 0.87%
= 18.87 %
- IRR of Project Y:
NPV at 15% = Rs.92,000 ( As calculated above)
We choose a high discounting rat let 17%
Years | Cash Inflows (in Rs) | Discount Factor at 17% | Discounted Cash Flows(Rs) |
1 | 1,500,000 | 0.855 | 1,282,500 |
2 | 2,000,000 | 0.731 | 1,462,000 |
3 | 2,500,000 | 0.624 | 1,560,000 |
4 | 2,000,000 | 0.534 | 1,068,000 |
5 | 3,000,000 | 0.456 | 1,368,000 |
6 | 4,000,000 | 0.390 | 1,560,000 |
7 | 2,500,000 | 0.333 | 832,000 |
8 | 1,000,000 | 0.285 | 285,000 |
Total | | | 9,418,000 |
NPV at 17% = - Rs.10,000,000 – Rs.9,418,000 = - Rs.582,000
So our IRR is between 15% and 17%.
Using interpolation formula
IRR = Lower Discount rate + Difference between two Discount rates ()
= 15% + 2% ()
= 15% + 0.02 ( 0.137)
= 15% + 0.00274
= 15.274%
- Decision
Project | Simple payback Period | Discounted Payback Period | NPV | IRR |
Project X | 3.8 Years | 6.14 Years | Rs.1,299,500 | 18.87% |
Project Y | 4.67 | 7.72 | 92,000 | 15.274 |
The above table summarizes the payback periods, NPV and IRR of Project X and Project Y. As the table shows that Project X has better Simple Payback Periods, Discounted Payback periods, NPV and IRR as compare to Project Y. Therefore Project X is recommended for selection.
0 comments:
Post a Comment